This advisory note guides how Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curves can be used to improve targeting design in humanitarian programmes.
The Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve is a visual tool that shows us the targeting model's performance across all possible eligibility thresholds.
ROC analysis offers a systematic way to evaluate the critical trade-offs between errors of inclusion (giving assistance to those who don't need it) and exclusion (failing to provide aid to those who do need it). This is a crucial consideration for any humanitarian programme that must make difficult decisions with limited resources. This is not just a technical exercise; it's a way to visualize the ethical and practical choices faced in targeting design.